Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 146.455415 160.873153 175.630421 191.836703 209.105964 226.929923 246.688804
2025-01-12 119.606465 140.699626 163.333123 189.305605 218.164033 249.126512 284.736729
2025-01-19 99.340204 124.816428 153.398569 187.541044 226.910344 270.584521 322.390880
2025-01-26 87.747626 117.048383 151.255176 193.563984 243.900761 301.299518 371.103816
2025-02-02 77.904504 109.988478 148.861736 198.488853 259.197274 330.100508 418.184237
2025-02-09 70.200963 104.522297 147.555038 204.080369 274.942860 359.438884 466.332126
2025-02-16 63.538027 99.538764 146.159288 209.028932 289.613429 387.493402 513.310497
2025-02-23 53.615083 89.050131 136.647108 202.728412 289.495008 396.985377 537.502223
2025-03-02 46.302932 81.335248 130.041765 199.500448 292.709795 410.229114 566.147048
2025-03-09 41.220853 76.260669 126.533092 199.960680 300.397517 428.970668 601.729587
2025-03-16 37.320327 72.516886 124.517209 202.150139 310.184839 450.371310 640.852206
2025-03-23 35.118976 71.176643 125.790530 208.827245 326.031438 479.803491 690.638659
2025-03-30 32.473368 68.932584 125.664393 213.618123 339.631495 506.876873 738.340557
2025-04-06 28.797647 64.561222 121.984042 213.012507 345.645980 523.954132 773.296205
2025-04-13 25.514690 60.479850 118.418287 212.300899 351.349709 540.605721 807.881640
2025-04-20 24.195571 59.797833 120.181365 219.597554 368.581539 573.149423 864.070299
2025-04-27 22.704690 58.616055 121.005699 225.404834 383.718897 603.016360 917.053952
2025-05-04 21.450358 57.736189 122.223405 231.774926 399.724868 634.248623 972.216414
2025-05-11 20.162312 56.635122 122.958733 237.340254 414.595447 664.073834 1025.813633
2025-05-18 17.078401 51.408182 116.161222 230.502997 410.679934 667.361740 1043.059943
2025-05-25 14.834766 47.634558 111.610489 227.000965 411.538353 677.239331 1069.331732
2025-06-01 13.356033 45.360417 109.595600 227.531149 418.462029 695.776836 1107.747754
2025-06-08 12.244870 43.788336 108.758988 229.950375 428.283886 718.560785 1152.303721